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Thinking in Bets
AI source guide
How can I apply this idea: Annie Duke's twenty-year detour from a cognitive-psychology PhD into professional poker taught her that only two things determine how any life turns out: the quality of our decisions and luck, and most of our suffering comes from failing to tell the two apart?
How can I apply this idea: We evaluate decisions by their outcomes instead of their quality (\?
How can I apply this idea: Every decision is a bet on an unlived future, made on the strength of beliefs we form carelessly and defend stubbornly, so explicitly asking \?
